Tag Emerging Markets

Emerging Markets Growth

The top emerging countries will vary from list to list, but a few of the most commonly recognized “emerging nations” are listed below. 


  • BRIC countries
  • Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa. 
  • These countries are known as the BRIC nations, an association formed in 2009 by the leaders of these countries to improve their political relationships and trade. 
  • BrazilRussiaIndia and China. These countries are currently considered the top four emerging markets.

But while the emerging market spotlight has long been focused on the BRIC nations of Brazil, Russia, India, and China, the report, entitled Reaching the emerging middle-classes beyond BRIC, notes that attention is turning to smaller markets. The shift is being driven by the rates of faster economic and demographic growth in many of those markets – factors that are together fueling growth in consumer spending, including highly valued spending areas such as education.

Market Size: Aggregated purchasing power and number of potential clients within the relevant market segments;

Market Accessibility: General ease of doing business, regulation, transparency, communication, and infrastructure;

Market Match: Overlap between needs and preferences in the market and products and services provided by marker suppliers.

  • CIVETS countries or Colombia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Egypt, Turkey and South Africa. These countries are predicted by some to be among the next emerging markets to quickly rise in economic prominence
Morocco
Philippines
Poland
Chile
Czech Republic
Hungary
South Korea
Taiwan
Thailand
Indonesia
Malaysia
Mexico

Other emerging markets include: 

CIVETS countries: Colombia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Egypt, Turkey, and South Africa

E7 countries: Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia, and Turkey

Group of Five (G5): Brazil, China, India, Mexico, and South Africa

World Economics has combined 24 countries to represent the Emerging Markets. Overall these countries account for 50% of Global GDP and 68.5% of global GDP growth in the past 10 years (2013-2023).

Next year, Emerging Market Growth growth is expected to decelerate to 3.6% / to a slightly below-trend 3.8% in 2024 on average from around 4% this year. Importantly, the growth premium in favour of Emerging Markets over Developed Markets is projected to continue widening. Asia is set to register the strongest contribution to world GDP once again. Nov 23, 2023

Compared to their developed market peers, many emerging market companies have the potential to increase earnings at a faster rate due to increasing living standards in their domestic markets and rising demand from the rest of the world. Nov 15, 2023

The Next Eleven (or N-11) are eleven countries—Bangladesh, Egypt, Indonesia, Iran, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, South Korea, Turkey, and Vietnam— identified by Goldman Sachs investment bank as having a high potential of becoming the world’s largest economies in the 21st century along with the BRICs.

Looking beyond China, we explore below the three rising emerging market countries where we see particularly compelling investment opportunities. India, Brazil, and Saudi Arabia are leaders in their respective regions, all benefiting from economic reforms and digitization initiatives.


Saudi Arabia’s Trade Surplus: October 2013

December 28, 2023 Saudi Arabia is one of the top 20 export and import markets in the world. In 2022, the US imported roughly 456,000 barrels of crude oil per day from Saudi Arabia. China is Saudi Arabia’s largest trading partner and the world’s largest buyer of crude oil.  According to the Indonesian Trade Promotion Center, Saudi … Continue reading Saudi Arabia’s Trade Surplus: October 2013

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In many ways, the case is clear. Nearshoring or onshoring can contribute to risk-resistant supply chains and lead to faster time-to-market, more effective planning cycles, and greater flexibility in response to disruption. Proximate sourcing can enable greater control and more frequent site visits, fewer cultural barriers, and better communication. Reductions in logistics costs and lead times can also bolster the balance sheet by freeing up working capital that is tied up in cash outlays to suppliers and inventory in transit. 

Colliers International releases a new research report on the latest trends for the manufacturing industry in Asia, Europe and the Americas

Greater focus on automation and digital technology in manufacturing globally is helping to shift workforce needs from low-cost to highly-skilled. This trend is apparent across Europe, and globally, according to a report released by Colliers International. The report discusses multiple pressures which global manufacturing and supply chains are confronting.

“To remain competitive in a global context and future-proof their manufacturing sector, advanced economies are embracing the Fourth Industrial Revolution and pioneering new forms of smart manufacturing whereby production combines the “Internet of Things” and digital technology to increase productivity, efficiencies and flexibility. Germany for example pursues this objective through its “Industrie 4.0” programme”. Commented Tim Davies, Managing Director, Head of Industrial & Logistics Practise Group for Colliers EMEA.

While this is putting greater emphasis on the quality rather than the quantity of the workforce in advanced economies, low-cost manufacturers remain an important part of the global manufacturing jigsaw. They are seeing their operations shift into less advanced economies, where labour costs are low and supply is more plentiful.

Karel Stransky, Director, EMEA Corporate Solutions: “Europe ultimately needs additional workers to avoid significant labour shortages. EU states in the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) are anticipating population declines of approximately 10% by 2050, while the EU dependency ratio is expected to double, a measure reflecting the pressure on the productive population. Rural areas will be the most affected due to the continuing urbanisation trend. This begs a question over the sustainability of local labour pools. Going forward, the countries that will emerge as manufacturing winners will be those who continue to create innovative technologies in the most cost-effective manner, combined with competitive, yet affordable, wages.”

CEE has been one of the main beneficiaries of new productive investment in Europe in the last few decades. This has been primarily focused on a group of so-called Tier 1 countries including the Czech Republic, Poland, Slovakia and Hungary. The Czech Republic has one of the highest stocks of manufacturing FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) per capita within CEE. This investment has put local labour markets under pressure.

The Czech unemployment rate has fallen from a post crisis peak of 7.3% in 2010 to 5.1% in 2015 and is expected to fall to just above 4% by the end of 2016, the lowest level in Europe. In Poland, another regional heavyweight, the unemployment rate is predicted to fall to an all-time low of 6.2% by the end of the year.

Meanwhile, gross average manufacturing wages have increased by nearly 50% in the Czech Republic, 57% in Slovakia, 68% in Poland and 73% in Hungary in the space of less than 10 years (2005 to 2014).

These cyclical and structural forces are slowly redrawing the manufacturing landscape across the CEE region as we know it, and are prompting some corporates to consider alternative territories to established manufacturing hot spots.

The report – ”Global Manufacturing Shifts: an EMEA Perspective. Production in the post-BRICs era” cites several significant factors and trends as catalysts for redrawing the manufacturing landscape:

https://focusonbusiness.eu/en/news/colliers-international-releases-a-new-research-report-on-the-latest-trends-for-the-manufacturing-industry-in-asia-europe-and-the-americas/1128

  • Rising labour costs and labour shortages in global manufacturing hot spots are redefining the map of global manufacturing, driving growth into the next group of low cost countries such as South Eastern Europe, Turkey and Morocco.
  • Labour costs are far from being the only determining factor for locating a site or plant or in product-sourcing decisions. The need to improve speed to market and the growing demand for customised product means proximity to final consumers is increasingly important. As a result, regions/countries close to major consumer blocks that offer a good balance between cost/risk are those best placed to benefit from this trend. These include the previously mentioned countries plus South East Asia and Mexico.
  • In line with Industry 4.0, Western European supply chains are set to become increasingly automated, with robot-operated factories the norm. Port operator APM Terminals, for example, recently announced the opening of the world’s first fully-automated container in Rotterdam Port. Amazon has cut its operating expenses by about 20% by using its Kiva robots, and plans to roll out this technology more extensively across Europe and Asia.
  • Automation and technology may also enable the return of some traditionally labour intensive productions, from farther afield, as they seek to maximize speed to market. While this will generate new real estate requirements, the overall impact on job markets is likely to be more muted and unevenly felt across skills/qualifications levels, with the low-skilled workforce set to be most impacted.
  • In CEE, tier 1 markets like Poland and the Czech Republic have become more expensive and increasingly saturated in their primary manufacturing locations. This is likely to pave the way to greater manufacturing investment, particularly by cost-sensitive industries, into “off-the beaten track” regions within these countries or deeper into South Eastern Europe and the Balkans region. Labour cost will be a key driver, with current infrastructure development across the region helping de-risk investment. EU enlargement on other hand seems to have lost momentum but remains important in the mid-long term.
  • Mediterranean countries like Turkey and Morocco are likely to capture some investment thanks to their large, young and educated workforce and their location at the crossroads of Europe and other emerging regions like Africa and the Middle East. Turkey in particular is the Western’ terminal of China’s Silk Road initiative, aimed at strengthening trade between the Far East and Europe and support China’s outward investment.

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